Alabama vs. Ole Miss odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks.
When the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide hosts the No. 12 Ole Miss Rebels in Saturday’s SEC on CBS showdown, two of the nation’s best offences may light up the day. The Crimson Tide (4-0) passed their first test two weeks ago, defeating then-No. 11 Florida 31-29. Bryce Young at quarterback and a strong defence give Alabama supporters optimism for another successful season, and the Tide have won five consecutive games versus the Rebels. Matt Corral leads Ole Miss (3-0), which is the +180 co-favourite in the Heisman Trophy race alongside Young, according to Caesars Sportsbook. He leads a Rebels offence that is first in the FBS with 52.6 points per game, while Bama is fourth with 46.5.F
The game will begin at 3:30 p.m. ET in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. The Crimson Tide are 15-point favourites in the latest Caesars Ole Miss vs. Alabama odds, and the total points scored over/under is set at 79.5. Before making any Alabama vs. Ole Miss selections, be sure to check out the SportsLine Projection Model’s college football predictions and analysis.
Every FBS college football game is 10,000 times simulated by the SportsLine Projection Model. The proprietary computer model has produced a staggering return of almost $3,300 for $100 gamblers on its top-rated college football predictions against the spread over the last five years. It also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an 81-61 record on all top-rated college football selections after going 9-3 in Week 4. Anyone who has kept up with it has experienced tremendous gains.
Now that the model has settled on Alabama vs. Ole Miss, it has released its forecasts and choices. To see the model’s selections, go to SportsLine right now.
The betting odds and trends for Ole Miss vs. Alabama are as follows:
- Mississippi vs. Alabama: Crimson Tide -15
- Mississippi vs. Alabama over-under: 79.5 points
- Mississippi vs. Alabama Moneyline: Rebels +475, Crimson Tide -700
- MISS: The Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last five as road underdogs
- ALA: The Crimson Tide are 13-8 ATS as home favourites since 2018
Why Alabama can cover
Alabama has previously played in a huge game, but this is the biggest one in a long time for the Rebels. The Tide will also have a sea of crimson behind them and obvious defensive advantage. They allow 17.5 points per game (27th in FBS) and 283.8 yards per game (17th), and they have intercepted the ball seven times. The linebacking corps is regarded as the finest in the country, with six players having interceptions. Meanwhile, the Rebels are 50th in scoring and sit outside the FBS top 50 in total yards (344.7, 59th), passing (208.5, 53rd), and running (136, 61st) (20.7).
With so much skill around Young, the Alabama offence has plenty of ways to attack that defence. With 1,124 yards, 15 touchdowns, and just one interception, the sophomore is completing more than 72% of his passes. Downfield threats Jameson Williams (24.9 yards per reception, three touchdowns) and John Metchie III (team-high 24 catches) abound, while tight ends Jahleel Billingsley (21.8 yards per catch) and Cameron Latu (four touchdowns) offer Young even more choices. Brian Robinson Jr. (208 yards, two touchdowns) may throw the Rebels off guard.
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Why the Ole Miss can cover
On offence, Ole Miss boasts an excellent balance, ranking first in total yards (653.3 per game) and fourth in running (298.7). Corral has been at the heart of it all, passing for 997 yards and no interceptions while also running for 158 yards and 14 touchdowns. Jerrion Ealy (188 yards) and Henry Parrish Jr. in the backfield assist him (176). Snoop Conner (three touchdowns) can get the difficult yards for the Rebels, who average 6.2 yards per run as a team. They’ll be up against a Bama defence that gave up 244 yards on the run in their victory over Florida.
Corral can air it out to big-play wideouts Dontario Drummond (339 yards, four touchdowns) and Braylon Sanders (16.6 per catch, three touchdowns), and Ealy has 78 receiving yards out of the backfield if the run isn’t working. The Rebels’ defence has been mediocre so far, but defensive end Sam Williams is projected to be drafted in the first round of the NFL draught. He’s already racked up four sacks, a pass defence, and two caused fumbles. In the past seven meetings between these teams, the underdog has gone 5-2 against the spread.
How to make Mississippi vs. Alabama picks
The model predicts that the teams will combine for 73 points, which is under the total projected by the model. It has also produced a point-spread selection that has hit 60% of simulations. Only SportsLine has the model’s selections for Alabama vs. Ole Miss.
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