Expert choices, teasers, survivor picks, and more for NFL Week 1 odds, picks, schedule, how to watch, and streaming:
So The NFL season has returned, and CBSSports.com and SportsLine are dissecting every game.
The regular season of the NFL in 2021 is nearly here, but which means it’s time to start winning money.
Well, you’ll make money because you’ve arrived at the ideal spot for expert picks against the spread.
While your pals are betting on favorites they think will cover in Week 1, you did your homework and knew better.
This is the expert-compiled study guide for you.
We’ll compile all of the best picks and gambling content from CBSSports.
com and SportsLine into one place each week, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional feature content for each game, such as plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine Projection Model, best bets from our staff, survivor picks, and more.
Enjoy our recap of a hectic Week 1! Caesars Sportsbook provided all odds.
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Titans vs. Cardinals Time: 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ on Sunday (click here) Titans -2.5, Over/Under 51.5 Titans -3, over/under 53.5.
“This was my upset call in my early look-ahead column a few weeks ago, and I still like the Cardinals’ position to start the season.”
They have a plethora of weapons on offense and a quarterback in Kyler Murray who should be able to dodge whatever pressure the Titans are able to apply as they attempt to improve on that side of the ball after a disastrous 2020 season.
Meanwhile, A.J. Brown and Julio Jones, Tennessee’s top two receivers, have been limited this summer due to various injuries. While I expect both to play, I’m not convinced they’ll be at 100 percent, which will hamper Ryan Tannehill’s passing game possibilities.
“In the meantime, Tennessee is another club that has had trouble getting out to a good start in the past. The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last five Week 1 games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games in September.”
Tyler Sullivan, a CBS Sports NFL journalist, predicts an upset! Here’s where you can find the remainder of his Week 1 picks.
Texans vs. Jaguars Time: 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ on Sunday (click here) Jaguars -2, O/U 46, Jaguars -2, Jaguars -2, Jaguars -2, Jaguars -2 Jaguars -3, over/under 45.5
his season, Mike Tierney of SportsLine is all about teasers. If you’re not familiar with the term, a teaser is a wager that involves at least two games with better point spreads than a standard wager.
Our picks will be limited to two-game, six-point teases, which means we’ll add a half-dozen points to our favorite team in each game.
We know he enjoys taunting the Texans when they’re up at +9. Check out SportsLine to see what else he has to say.
Chargers vs. Redskins
Time: 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ on Sunday (click here) Chargers -2, over/under 44.5 Washington is at -1, with a 44.5 percent chance of winning.
“Justin Herbert has never played in an NFL stadium against an NFL defense in front of a packed house cheering him on and being loud and noisy. For him, and Burrow, and Tua, that should be a consideration.
Not only that, but you’re dealing with a new offense and a new offensive coach, so all of the synchronizations that you were able to do so easily in empty stadiums is now going to be much, much more difficult, and I believe Herbert will struggle against a top defense.
So give me Washington any day of the week. “I’m a huge fan of the football team here.”
That’s Will Brinson’s view from the Pick Six Podcast, where he, Pete Prisco, and R.J.
White like they do every week, broke down all of the games from a gambling standpoint and offered out best bets on Friday. Listen to it below, then subscribe to have great NFL stuff delivered to your inbox every day.
Bengals vs. Vikings Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox), fuboTV stream (try for free) Vikings -3, Over/Under 47 Vikings -3, over/under 47.
“Kirk Cousins did an excellent job this offseason of making the Minnesota Vikings unattractive as season-long bets, but that won’t matter in this game.”
Joe Burrow has returned, but is he truly back? We haven’t seen him confidently working the pocket in the manner that we would expect.
Ja’Marr Chase’s declines are concerning, but I believe he’ll be fine.
The main issue here is that Cincy is unlikely to be able to shut down the Vikings’ rushing attack.
Against a bad defense and an upgraded offensive line, this is a Dalvin Cook smash spot right away.
Minnesota, I believe, takes the lead and pursues it vigorously.
If you’re not convinced, go to Vegas: Dalvin’s rush prop at Caesar’s is 95.5! That’s a little too risky for Week 1, but I’d still take it.”
Will Brinson of CBS Sports is covering the Vikings and is also giving away a free Dalvin prop! Here are all of his Week 1 predictions.
anthers vs. Jets Time: 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ on Sunday (click here) Panthers -3.5, Over/Under 43.5 Panthers -4, over/under 45.
“Despite the fact that this line has fluctuated, I’d still pick Carolina because this number should definitely be around six.”
The Jets are coming off a 2-14 regular season last year and will be led by a first-year head coach and a rookie quarterback in this game.
Furthermore, New York’s pass-catching unit is hurting, with Jamison Crowder (COVID) already ruled out and Keelan Cole nursing a knee injury.
Meanwhile, the Panthers offense will be led by a highly motivated Darnold, who will have access to weapons like Christian McCaffrey, Robby Anderson, and D.J. Moore.
Even if you don’t want to lay the points, -210 is a good Moneyline to consider.”
On why he loves Carolina on Sunday, our own Tyler Sullivan.
So He even produced a gambling guide for this matchup, with Total analysis and proposed player props. Take a look at it here.
Falcons vs. Eagles Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox), fuboTV stream (try for free) Falcons -4, over/under 47.5 Falcons -3.5, over/under 48.5
“I’m trying to figure out why the Falcons are the favorites, other than the fact that they’re playing at home.”
But it’s difficult to root for them when you consider how many embarrassing losses they’ve had in front of their own fans, how welcoming their dome has been to opponents and the Falcons’ troubling tendency of waiting until November to start playing with a pulse.
Is Arthur Smith, the new rookie coach, going to be able to fix all of that in his first game?
I like the Eagles’ trench personnel on both sides of the line — offensive and defensive — and their versatility in the run game should provide a challenge for Atlanta’s consistently problematic front seven.
Matt Ryan isn’t good under pressure right now, and I’m guessing he’ll be forced to pick up his feet more than he’d want on Sunday.
Both teams have fresh youthful coaches, but I’ll take the guy on the road who doesn’t feel obligated to put on a show or show off all of his offensive skills and bells and whistles. For me, this is a bet on the Moneyline.
“I think the dog will win.”
In this matchup, CBS Sports NFL Insider Jason La Canfora believes the wrong team is favoured.
Here are some of his other Week 1 picks.
headshot-image Prisco, Pete
Bills vs. Steelers Time: 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ on Sunday (click here) Bills -5.5, Over/Under 51 Bills -6.5, Over/Under 48
“Ben Roethlisberger looked like a shell of himself last season, but in his brief preseason play against the Lions, I was really impressed with him.”
According to all accounts out of Pittsburgh, he is going backward in time.
Unfortunately, I don’t have faith in his offensive line just yet, and I believe his offense will be a work in progress.
Last month, the Bills second-teamers came close to relegating the Bears first-teamers.
“Buffalo keeps the ball rolling.”
As he prepares to take on Buffalo on Sunday, CBS Sports NFL Insider Jonathan Jones believes momentum may carry over into a new season.
Check out the rest of his selections here.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Indianapolis Colts Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox), fuboTV stream (try for free) Colts -2, Over/Under 52 Seahawks -3, over/under 49
“Carson Wentz will play for the Indianapolis Colts, but is it the best decision? He had a five-to-twelve-week recuperation schedule, and he had just completed five weeks since his operation.
Is he on his way back? Maybe. In any case, I’m not convinced Wentz is the long-term option in Indianapolis. In Week 1, it appears logical to fade him, especially given his opponent.
In the Eastern Time Zone, Seattle has won 12 of its last 13 games. Russell Wilson has a 117.9 passer rating, 3,598 passing yards, 26 touchdown passes, and five interceptions in his 13 games.
“I believe the Seahawks should be preferred by a larger number of people.”
One of my top five picks in Week 1 was Seattle over Indianapolis, and as you’ll see below, it’s a popular choice among our experts.
Lions vs. 49ers Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox), fuboTV stream (try for free) 49ers -7, Over/Under 47 49ers -8.5, over/under 46
The 49ers will be one of the most popular survivor pool options in Week 1 despite their quarterback crisis. Jared Goff is the Lions’ new quarterback, and Dan Campbell is their new head coach. They aren’t projected to be one of the best teams in the NFL, while the 49ers are hoping to make the playoffs following an injury-plagued season last year.
Since its start six years ago, SportsLine’s model has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times and is up nearly $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL bets. Here you can find out if the 49ers are SportsLine’s top choice for this week, as well as the other teams the model feels have the highest chance of winning straight up.
So Chiefs against. Browns Time: 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ on Sunday (click here) Chiefs -6, Over/Under 53.5 Current odds: Chiefs -5.5, over/under 54.5.
Over the last four years, R.J. White has been SportsLine’s top NFL analyst, going 354-292-22 against the spread in particular. Over the last six seasons, he’s had a 57.1 percent hit rate on his SuperContest picks.
We know he’s going with the Chiefs -6 on Sunday, but he also has four other SuperContest choices over at SportsLine that you should check out.
Giants vs. Broncos
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox), watch on fuboTV on Sunday (try for free)
Giants -1, Over/Under 43
Broncos -3, over/under 41.5
“The Broncos have a long road trip to begin the season, but defenses travel well, and the Broncos will have a strong defense. The difference in this game will be the front line of the Denver Broncos vs the offensive line of the Giants. They’re going to make Daniel Jones’ day difficult. Teddy Bridgewater will be sufficient to win.”
The Broncos have Pete Prisco of CBS Sports on their side, as do the rest of our experts. Every week, Prisco breaks down each game; check out his Week 1 article here.
Saints vs. Packers (in Jacksonville)
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox), watch on fuboTV on Sunday (try for free)
Saints -2, Over/Under 51
Packers -3.5, over/under 49.5.
“When Rodgers plays with a chip on his shoulder, he’s at his best, and I’m quite sure he dumped a full bag of chips on his shoulder during his offseason spat with the Packers.
“Jameis Winston is the only stumbling block in this game. I have no idea if 30-interception Jameis Winston will play this season or if Sean Payton will turn him into a supercharged Drew Brees, which is a distinct possibility.
Jameis Winston passed for 5,109 yards in 2019, despite the fact that he couldn’t see the field.
Winston’s LASIK surgeon better get the game ball if Jameis finally gets LASIK and outduels Rodgers on Sunday.”
So John Breech writes one of the more fun weekly choices columns available on CBS Sports. Take a look at it here.
Patriots vs. Dolphins
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ on Sunday. (go to this page)
Open: Patriots -2.5, 45.5 Over/Under
Patriots -3, over/under 43.5
“Do you know what I don’t do on a regular basis?
I don’t usually wager on rookie quarterbacks in their first professional start, especially if they’re a favorite.
And that’s exactly where Mac Jones and the Patriots find themselves to begin the season.
Now, this isn’t meant to be a criticism of Jones.
I’m sure he outplayed Cam Newton in camp, but keep in mind that Newton finished 13-18 in his past three seasons as a starter, and averaging only 6.7 yards per attempt.
Because he’s been a shell of his former MVP self, Jones’ victory doesn’t necessarily imply that the youngster has performed admirably.
“I believe the Patriots will want to lean on the run game to take some of the pressure off Jones in his first start and to hide the fact that they don’t have many quality alternatives in the passing game.
That should just serve to tighten things up, and I believe the Dolphins have the better overall skill talent. As a result, I prefer to keep Miami’s coverage to a bare minimum.”
This week, our Tom Fornelli is fading the rookie quarterback. Here are some of his best bets. #TrustTheProcess
Rams vs. Bears
Time: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC); fuboTV stream (try for free)
Rams -7, over/under 45.5
Rams -7.5, over/under 46.5.
R.J. White finished the 2020 season with an 80-59 record on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400.
So It’s no surprise, given White’s success in the Las Vegas SuperContest, the world’s most prestigious football handicapping competition. White has a pick this week and is 35-16-1 (+1706) in his previous 52 ATS picks in Rams games.
In this game, White is leaning toward the Under, but you can see his against-the-spread pick on SportsLine.
Raiders against. Ravens
So Time: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC), fuboTV stream (try for free)
Ravens -5.5, Over/Under 52
Ravens -4, over/under 50.5.
So Mike Tierney has a three-year record of 187-147 against the spread.
Tierney also has a record of 19-9 in his previous 28 picks involving the Ravens. Anyone who has kept up with him is on the right track.
Tierney has a strong against-the-spread selection for the Ravens vs. Raiders matchup.
We know he’s leaning under, but he understands that one side of the spread is a MUST BACK due to a critical X element.