Kevin Holland vs. Kyle Daukaus odds and analysis for UFC Fight Night 193
Kevin Holland and Kyle Daukaus will fight in the middleweight co-main event of UFC Fight Night 193.
Kevin Holland, who has been competing in the UFC since 2018, created history in 2020 by winning five times in a calendar year.
In the current age of MMA, this is the most.
Holland eliminated great Jacare Souza his way to 2020, as well as Darren Stewart and Joaquin Buckley, two other young prospects.
However, his 2021 has so far failed to live up to the expectations set by the previous year, going 0-2, although playing against significantly greater opponents.
After only losing to top title contenders, a victory on Saturday would put Holland back on track to the top.
A win on Saturday would make up for Kyle Daukaus’s UFC career thus far not living up to his lofty expectations.
The Bauhaus family has a long history of fighting, and Kyle’s older brother, Chris, just made headlines with an astounding KO victory at UFC 266.
Bauhaus, like his brother Kyle, entered the UFC in 2020 with a 9-0 record and a lot of buzzes.
However, Daukaus has gone back and forth between victories and defeats, all of which were hard-fought decisions, and he has yet to show the devastating submission game that drew him to the UFC in the first place.
On Saturday, he’ll try to replicate his success outside of the UFC for the first time.
Betting odds for Holland vs. Daukaus
Kevin Holland will be a heavy favorite over Daukaus going into the race.
If the underdog wins, a $100 bet on him would earn $140 if he wins the upset.
-170 Holland (MyBookie)
+140 Daukaus (MyBookie)
Breakdown of Holland vs. Daukaus
For the most part, Kevin Holland’s strengths and shortcomings are well-known.
He wields immense power, is dynamic and unconventional, but has been defeated in the grappling department for a long time.
Kevin Holland is a relaxed, confident striker who stands tall and boxes with his long arms while incorporating traditional martial arts techniques.
He often uses deceivingly rapid front leg kicks to the head and body to offset his opponent’s comfort in the fight, and what makes him so dangerous is his ability to create KO power in his hands from really odd angles.
Holland is able to generate unusual hammerfists and slap-like punches with the strength of more fundamentally sound methods in positions when his opponents should be protected from fundamental boxing tactics.
He can also generate a tremendous force when moving forward, backward, or even off his back, as he demonstrated against Jacare Souza last year.
When he is unable to find success with a limited number of power shots from his bag, though, this is largely where he loses.
The clock is not Holland’s friend when competing against greater wrestlers.
He is a black belt in jiu-jitsu, but his main strengths are in defense; he has a difficult guard to pass, and he defends the upper body well, thus he is very good at submissions.
When he realizes his legs are bound, he loses steam since hip escaping and making room with his lower body isn’t second nature to him yet.
While he made progress in his last fight by doing so, Holland’s modifications are still new to him, and he was unable to hold to them throughout the fight.
Kyle Daukaus is the less experienced striker and the more qualified grappler.
Eight of his ten victories have come through submission, with Daukaus specializing in front chokes.
He has a long reach that helps him quickly snap onto guillotines and the Brabo choke, which is his specialty.
His reach is also used to work long at boxing range and draw out his opponent’s wrestling; but, in this match-up, he will be at a disadvantage in reach against Holland.
What he does have going for him in the striking department is the fact that it is no secret that it helps Daukaus bring the fight to the ground more than it helps Holland.
As a result, Daukaus will be able to be more generous with his kicks without being concerned about Holland countering with a trip or takedown.
If Daukaus can get to the top, he can stuff the lower body and land powerful ground and pound, which is a strategy that works well against Holland’s main weakness.
Prediction for Holland vs. Daukaus
While Bauhaus should have the upper hand if the battle reaches the mat, there is a significant gap between him and Holland’s prior opponents in the wrestling department.
Bauhaus frequently depends on his opponent’s initiative to prolong grappling exchanges, which he then capitalizes on with his submission game.
Holland has no motivation to start these because he should have a significant striking advantage.
Furthermore, because Holland’s jiu-jitsu game is mostly defensive, his submission defense should hold up if anything, therefore I expect Holland to be able to do more damage and minimize much of Daukaus’ groundwork.