Tiger Woods Masters odds: How likely is it that he will win his sixth green jacket in 2022?
Since the autumn of 2020, Tiger Woods hasn’t competed on the PGA Tour. In November of 2020, he underwent surgery to repair a back issue before suffering several leg injuries in a vehicle accident in February of 2021.
These have kept him out of the game, but the 46-year-old veteran now hopes to return for the 2022 Masters.
Woods stated Tuesday that he plans to compete in the Masters “as of right now,” pending the completion of one more day of practice.
Woods is attracting a lot of attention from bookmakers ahead of the Masters because of his impending comeback. Some are debating whether to take a risk on him at his higher-than-usual odds, while casual, public bettors, as is their habit, are pushing the payoff for his odds down.
What are Tiger Woods’ chances of winning the Masters? Should you consider placing a wager on them? The betting odds from a couple different bookmakers are shown below.
Masters odds 2022 Tiger Woods
Woods isn’t one of the favorites to win the 2022 Masters, but oddsmakers aren’t increasing his chances of winning the event by much. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Woods has the 13th lowest odds to win, while FanDuel has him tied for 22nd shortest.
Woods’ chances were initially posted as 28-1, the 15th lowest among Sports Interaction’s Masters odds for 2022. They’ve now been extended to 50-1.
The chances for Woods to win, place in the top five, and finish in the top ten at those three major bookmakers are shown below.
Woods’ probabilities are much higher than normal. However, any other golfer on the tour who lost a year or more due to injuries sustained in a vehicle accident would have a far better chance than Woods. So, in the grand scheme of things, these chances are quite low.
The 2022 Masters chances are explained.
Why are Woods’ chances of winning the Masters so much lower than expected? It all comes down to how sportsbooks work.
When it comes to collecting wagers, sportsbooks like equilibrium. To put it another way, if anybody — whether it the general public or a savvy gambler — bets a considerable amount of money on a golfer to win, the bookmakers will reduce that player’s odds. Why? Because it keeps them from taking on too much risk with any one player, which would affect the books if the golfer won the tournament.
Bettors may still profit from sportsmen like Woods by reducing the odds. They may, however, do so at a discount that will not cost the bookmakers much — if any — business in the near term, but will cost them less in the long run if one of the most heavily-bet players, such as Woods, wins.
Public bettors are now betting on Woods to win the event by a significant margin. Because he is one of the most popular sportsmen in the sport, Woods always attracts a large amount of public betting activity. That’s one of the reasons his chances are so low, even when he’s not playing well — or at all.
Casual gamblers like betting on the outcomes of their favorite sportsmen. So, regardless of the odds, they gambled on Woods.
With being stated, Woods’ chances are likely to go worse in the weeks leading up to the tournament. As a result, by the time Day 1 of the Masters comes around, he’ll probably not be worth 35-1 or 50-1. It, if you want to wager on Woods, do so now — or immediately after he confirms his participation in the tournament.
Tiger Woods’ Masters chances in 2018 and 2019
Since winning the Masters in 2019, Woods has not competed in the tournament. He was unable to attend the event in November 2020 due to a back ailment, and he was unable to attend in 2021 due to injuries incurred in a vehicle accident.
However, comparing Woods’ odds for this year’s event to his odds in his previous two visits reveals exactly how lengthy they have been.
Woods had the third-shortest odds among the field in 2018. At the time, he had four top-12 performances in his previous six competitions. Woods won the Masters in 2019 despite having the fourth-best odds to win the tournament. He had five top-30 finishes in a row to start the season at the time.
Here’s a breakdown of Woods’ odds and how he stacked up against the rest of the field in each event.
While some anticipated Woods’ odds to be higher than they are, they are among the highest he has ever faced in a major. It is obviously appropriate to prolong the books. After all, Woods hasn’t competed on the PGA Tour in over a year and a half, and it’s unknown if he’ll be able to physically endure a four-day tournament after his injuries.
However, the bookies will never be able to significantly increase Woods’ chances. That’s attributable to the public’s determination on betting on Woods regardless of the challenges he faces.
Is it worth betting on Tiger Woods to win the Masters?
Most likely not. Rolling with Woods at this point in his rehabilitation would be a huge gamble. We just don’t know whether he’ll be able to fight for another championship throughout the course of a four-day big event.
It’s also worth mentioning that Woods celebrated his 46th birthday in December. If he wins the 2022 Masters, he would become the third-oldest player in history to win a major, passing fellow 46-year-olds Tom Morris Sr. and Jack Nicklaus and falling behind Phil Mickelson (50) and Julius Boros (48).
Could Woods do anything similar? Yes, that is feasible. Given that he hasn’t competed in a PGA Tour event in over a year and a half, betting on him to pull off such an implausible achievement seems to be too dangerous.
If you’re a Woods fan looking for some action, consider betting on him to finish in the top ten. Consider betting on him to make the cut for a lower-end reward.
But don’t expect Woods to win his first event since his return. This is all part of a lengthy recuperation process, and the next stage is to go back on the golf field.